Stories closed · last 7 d ↑ 4 fizzles correctly called
11
9 escalated · 2 went to mainstream
Trajectory accuracy · 90 d
92%
calibrated on n=187 incidents · last recalib 14 d ago
Active2sorted by trajectory probability
L
Lumeo Beauty
D2C · Beautyfirst detected 6h 14min ago · accelerating
Adverse-reaction allegation on a moisturizer SKU — TikTok screenshot reposted across beauty subreddits and a fresh Instagram reel
Reach × Severity47↑ +12
Trajectory (48 h)78% mainstream pickup
Reply actors2 J · 1 L · 14 P
Bridges active9 accounts · 3 platforms
Prepare statementTwo beauty journalists asking questions; one cold lawyer-coded account amplifying. Best historical match: Aurabae · Oct 2024 · 92% sim.
A
Aurabae
Fintech · UPIfirst detected 11h ago · contained
Reddit thread on r/IndianFinance about a transaction-failure pattern — contained, no journalist replies, no cross-platform pickup
Reach × Severity8↓ −2
Trajectory (24 h)12% pickup probability
Reply actors38 generic noise
Bridges active0 · single-platform
Watch onlyHistorical analogues (n = 8) fizzled within 24h at this stage. No action recommended — Heimdall will re-alert if a journalist or cross-platform jump appears.
Quiet accounts4
NimbleGo, Veridian Bank, Castor Health, Tessera Wines — nothing actionable in the last 24 hours. Heimdall classified 1,189 mentions across these accounts; none crossed severity, virality, or actor thresholds. Saying "ignore" is a feature.